Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 13.204254 15.436739 17.874069 20.725067 23.960541 27.510157 31.690788
2025-05-11 9.278395 12.264744 15.870431 20.507066 26.269848 33.152426 41.945340
2025-05-18 6.928542 10.122575 14.303052 20.091172 27.799903 37.605007 50.893075
2025-05-25 5.366734 8.555663 13.029181 19.620268 28.912638 41.349154 59.012614
2025-06-01 4.248581 7.335432 11.945380 19.121813 29.753078 44.615175 66.576375
2025-06-08 3.298756 6.156410 10.689333 18.123479 29.656714 46.438324 72.143653
2025-06-15 2.925937 5.823009 10.650352 18.906241 32.191663 52.138616 83.556069
2025-06-22 2.544067 5.394387 10.377720 19.251596 34.037593 56.903061 93.867007
2025-06-29 2.119640 4.801683 9.729340 18.872469 34.650547 59.778870 101.459011
2025-07-06 1.720301 4.173385 8.915428 18.087614 34.479698 61.356571 107.075362
2025-07-13 1.615399 4.124068 9.158832 19.196748 37.594723 68.394680 121.733351
2025-07-20 1.505021 4.040897 9.320602 20.160683 40.517102 75.279339 136.511792
2025-07-27 1.323993 3.784863 9.145516 20.553040 42.612326 81.190035 150.533267
2025-08-03 1.121754 3.438018 8.740700 20.471795 43.881945 85.872562 162.983383
2025-08-10 0.930385 3.067821 8.219873 20.080053 44.513922 89.469341 173.804412
2025-08-17 0.767836 2.727430 7.701808 19.613447 44.932094 92.681091 184.120561
2025-08-24 0.632094 2.421389 7.205221 19.115845 45.217739 95.637848 194.126814
2025-08-31 0.497389 2.073021 6.533126 18.117900 44.352661 96.339311 200.041339
2025-09-07 0.458281 2.021935 6.619875 18.900476 47.313094 104.553989 220.290840
2025-09-14 0.407035 1.913147 6.531175 19.245744 49.350952 111.088120 237.732405
2025-09-21 0.339417 1.720807 6.171153 18.866717 49.743496 114.369651 249.150765
2025-09-28 0.271838 1.500565 5.681896 18.082070 49.128495 115.552068 256.551722
2025-10-05 0.261128 1.511894 5.899374 19.190912 52.998883 126.195028 283.057094